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Volume: 63 | Article ID: jist0580
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Multi-model Ensemble Forecast of PM2.5 Concentration Based on the Improved Wavelet Neural Networks
  DOI :  10.2352/J.ImagingSci.Technol.2019.63.3.030404  Published OnlineMay 2019
Abstract
Abstract

Concerning the uncertainty problem of different environment meteorological models and improving the accuracy of PM2.5 concentration forecast, in this article, an improved wavelet neural network ensemble algorithm with additional momentum item is proposed and the forecast products of the three environment meteorological models including China Meteorological Administration Unified Atmospheric Chemistry Environment, Beijing Regional Environmental Meteorology Prediction System and Weather Research Forecasting/Chemistry are integrated. The multi-model ensemble rolling forecasting model of PM2.5 concentration is established. The experiment is carried out by data of Beijing station, and the forecast results are compared with seven other machine learning algorithm models (Wavelet, BP, RBF, Elman, T-S fuzzy, SVR and CNN). The results show that PM2.5 concentration forecasted by the improved wavelet neural network is better than the other models, and the new method reduces the prediction deviation effectively.

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  Cite this article 

Tao Li, Yin Chen, Tingyu Zhang, Yongjun Ren, "Multi-model Ensemble Forecast of PM2.5 Concentration Based on the Improved Wavelet Neural Networksin Journal of Imaging Science and Technology,  2019,  pp 030404-1 - 030404-11,  https://doi.org/10.2352/J.ImagingSci.Technol.2019.63.3.030404

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Copyright © Society for Imaging Science and Technology 2019
  Article timeline 
  • received October 2018
  • accepted January 2019
  • PublishedMay 2019

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